Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.171251 0.200233 0.232083 0.269609 0.312535 0.360024 0.416460
2025-11-02 0.121693 0.160406 0.207599 0.268996 0.346359 0.440159 0.562009
2025-11-09 0.093078 0.134339 0.188695 0.264760 0.367530 0.500501 0.684315
2025-11-16 0.074222 0.115665 0.173926 0.260518 0.384352 0.553172 0.798358
2025-11-23 0.059243 0.098989 0.158235 0.251143 0.390827 0.590111 0.892135
2025-11-30 0.053585 0.094954 0.159720 0.265897 0.432212 0.678417 1.064577
2025-12-07 0.044434 0.083597 0.148026 0.258459 0.438631 0.715227 1.163856
2025-12-14 0.036977 0.073686 0.137004 0.250197 0.442053 0.746707 1.256386
2025-12-21 0.031322 0.065929 0.128351 0.244433 0.448287 0.782245 1.357041
2025-12-28 0.028055 0.062040 0.125847 0.248736 0.471402 0.846281 1.507670
2026-01-04 0.025810 0.059753 0.125882 0.257406 0.502600 0.925743 1.689103
2026-01-11 0.023493 0.056911 0.124429 0.262999 0.528569 0.997943 1.863026
2026-01-18 0.021049 0.053463 0.121474 0.265649 0.549899 1.064659 2.034217
2026-01-25 0.018593 0.049561 0.117082 0.264963 0.564908 1.121405 2.192379
2026-02-01 0.016189 0.045324 0.111354 0.260778 0.572533 1.164977 2.329578
2026-02-08 0.014125 0.041512 0.105979 0.256593 0.579543 1.207597 2.467572
2026-02-15 0.012017 0.037154 0.098713 0.247347 0.575126 1.227784 2.564484
2026-02-22 0.011622 0.037288 0.101970 0.261899 0.621761 1.350469 2.865041
2026-03-01 0.010037 0.033807 0.095994 0.254563 0.620753 1.378480 2.983291
2026-03-08 0.008629 0.030527 0.090008 0.246413 0.617034 1.400466 3.090705
2026-03-15 0.007520 0.027900 0.085298 0.240728 0.618175 1.432310 3.219703
2026-03-22 0.006948 0.026844 0.084616 0.244972 0.642439 1.514289 3.456289
2026-03-29 0.006589 0.026410 0.085582 0.253524 0.677516 1.621633 3.751919